Estimating Probability

Estimating Probability

Worksheets

Mathematics Probability (Chance)

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Content to Differentiate

Description

This resource helps students estimate the probability of everyday events by assigning percentages. Students convert these estimates into fractions and decimals, placing each event on a 0–100% probability scale. Includes a table format and an extension activity for deeper learning.

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Relief Teachers

Lesson Structure

Individual Activity
Rotations / Group Work
Class Activity

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Curriculum Codes

VC2M6P01 2.0

describe probabilities using fractions, decimals and percentages; recognise that probabilities lie on numerical scales of 0–‍1 or 0%–100%; use estimation to assign probabilities that events occur in a given context, using common fractions, percentages and decimals

Conduct chance experiments with both small and large numbers of trials using appropriate digital technologies

Compare observed frequencies across experiments with expected frequencies

Conduct repeated chance experiments and run simulations with an increasing number of trials using digital tools; compare observations with expected results and discuss the effect on variation of increasing the number of trials

ACMSP145 8.4

Conduct Probability (Chance) experiments with both small and large numbers of trials using appropriate digital technologies

ACMSP146 8.4

Compare observed frequencies across experiments with expected frequencies

MA3-1WM old

Describes and represents mathematical situations in a variety of ways using mathematical terminology and some conventions

MA3-2WM old

Selects and applies appropriate problem- solving strategies, including the use of digital technologies, in undertaking investigations

MA3-3WM old

Gives a valid reason for supporting one possible solution over another

MA3-19SP old

Conducts chance experiments and assigns probabilities as values between 0 and 1 to describe their outcomes

MA3-CHAN-01 new

Conducts chance experiments and quantifies the probability

Linked Resources & Worksheets

Probability Match Game

Curriculum Code: AC9M5P01, VCMSP203, MA3-1WM, MA3-19SP, ACMSP116, AC9M5P02, VCMSP204, ACMSP117, AC9M6P01, VCMSP232, MA3-2WM, MA3-3WM, ACMSP144, AC9M4P02, VCMSP233, AC9M6P02, ...

Year Level: Year 4, Year 5, Year 6

Subject: Mathematics, Probability (Chance)

Category: Games & Activities

Pre & Primary Essentials Membership

Probability Match Game

Probability Stations

Curriculum Code: AC9M5P01, VCMSP203, MA3-1WM, MA3-19SP, ACMSP116, AC9M5ST03, VCMSP205, MA3-3WM, MA3-18SP, ACMSP118, AC9M5ST02, VCMSP207, ACMSP120, AC9M6P01, VCMSP232, MA3-2WM, ...

Year Level: Year 4, Year 5, Year 6

Subject: Mathematics, Probability (Chance), Statistics (Data)

Category: Games & Activities

Pre & Primary Essentials Membership

Probability Stations

Constantly Converting Chance

Curriculum Code: ACMSP167, ACMSP168, VC2M6P01, AC9M6P02, ...

Year Level: Year 6, High School

Subject: Mathematics, Probability (Chance)

Category: Worksheets

Constantly Converting Chance

Scaling Samples

Curriculum Code: ACMSP167, ACMSP168, VC2M6P01, AC9M6P02, ...

Year Level: Year 6, High School

Subject: Mathematics, Probability (Chance)

Category: Worksheets

Scaling Samples

New 9.0 Curriculum

Maths Unit: Probability

Curriculum Code: AC9M6P01, VCMSP232, MA3-1WM, MA3-2WM, MA3-3WM, MA3-19SP, ACMSP144, AC9M4P02, VCMSP233, AC9M6P02, VCMSP234, ACMSP145, ACMSP146, MA2-CHAN-01, MA3-CHAN-01, VC2M6P01, ...

Year Level: Year 4, Year 6

Subject: Mathematics, Probability (Chance)

Category: Unit Plans

Primary + Unit Plans Membership

Maths Unit: Probability

Probability - Presentation

Curriculum Code: VC2M6P01, AC9M6P02, ACMSP145, VCMSP233, VCMSP234, MA3-1WM, MA3-2WM, MA3-3WM, MA3-19SP, MA3-CHAN-01, ACMSP146, ...

Year Level: Year 6

Subject: Mathematics, Probability (Chance)

Category: Presentations

Primary + Unit Plans Membership

Probability - Presentation

Probability - Display

Curriculum Code: VC2M6P01, AC9M6P02, ACMSP145, VCMSP233, VCMSP234, MA3-1WM, MA3-2WM, MA3-3WM, MA3-19SP, MA3-CHAN-01, ACMSP146, ...

Year Level: Year 6

Subject: Mathematics, Probability (Chance)

Category: Resources, Classroom Displays

Pre & Primary Essentials Membership

Probability - Display

Probability - Student Reference Card

Curriculum Code: VC2M6P01, AC9M6P02, ACMSP145, VCMSP233, VCMSP234, MA3-1WM, MA3-2WM, MA3-3WM, MA3-19SP, MA3-CHAN-01, ACMSP146, ...

Year Level: Year 6

Subject: Mathematics, Probability (Chance)

Category: Resources

Pre & Primary Essentials Membership

Probability - Student Reference Card

Probability Pre-Assessment

Curriculum Code: VC2M6P01, AC9M6P02, ACMSP145, VCMSP233, VCMSP234, MA3-1WM, MA3-2WM, MA3-3WM, MA3-19SP, MA3-CHAN-01, ACMSP146, ...

Year Level: Year 6

Subject: Mathematics, Probability (Chance)

Category: Worksheets

Probability Pre-Assessment

Introduction to Probability

Curriculum Code: VC2M6P01, AC9M6P02, ACMSP145, VCMSP233, VCMSP234, MA3-1WM, MA3-2WM, MA3-3WM, MA3-19SP, MA3-CHAN-01, ACMSP146, ...

Year Level: Year 6

Subject: Mathematics, Probability (Chance)

Category: Worksheets

Introduction to Probability

Rolling the Dice

Curriculum Code: VC2M6P01, AC9M6P02, ACMSP145, VCMSP233, VCMSP234, MA3-1WM, MA3-2WM, MA3-3WM, MA3-19SP, MA3-CHAN-01, ACMSP146, ...

Year Level: Year 6

Subject: Mathematics, Probability (Chance)

Category: Worksheets

Rolling the Dice

Repeated Chance Experiments

Curriculum Code: VC2M6P01, AC9M6P02, ACMSP145, VCMSP233, VCMSP234, MA3-1WM, MA3-2WM, MA3-3WM, MA3-19SP, MA3-CHAN-01, ACMSP146, ...

Year Level: Year 6

Subject: Mathematics, Probability (Chance)

Category: Worksheets

Repeated Chance Experiments

Simulating Chance Experiments

Curriculum Code: VC2M6P01, AC9M6P02, ACMSP145, VCMSP233, VCMSP234, MA3-1WM, MA3-2WM, MA3-3WM, MA3-19SP, MA3-CHAN-01, ACMSP146, ...

Year Level: Year 6

Subject: Mathematics, Probability (Chance)

Category: Worksheets

Simulating Chance Experiments

Probability Quiz

Curriculum Code: VC2M6P01, AC9M6P02, ACMSP145, VCMSP233, VCMSP234, MA3-1WM, MA3-2WM, MA3-3WM, MA3-19SP, MA3-CHAN-01, ACMSP146, ...

Year Level: Year 6

Subject: Mathematics, Probability (Chance)

Category: Resources

Pre & Primary Essentials Membership

Probability Quiz

Probability Assessment

Curriculum Code: VC2M6P01, AC9M6P02, ACMSP145, VCMSP233, VCMSP234, MA3-1WM, MA3-2WM, MA3-3WM, MA3-19SP, MA3-CHAN-01, ACMSP146, ...

Year Level: Year 6

Subject: Mathematics, Probability (Chance)

Category: Worksheets

Probability Assessment

Probability Grading Rubric

Curriculum Code: VC2M6P01, AC9M6P02, ACMSP145, VCMSP233, VCMSP234, MA3-1WM, MA3-2WM, MA3-3WM, MA3-19SP, MA3-CHAN-01, ACMSP146, ...

Year Level: Year 6

Subject: Mathematics, Probability (Chance)

Category: Worksheets

Probability Grading Rubric